🎱 Magic 8 ball says: patience please! 🔮 ❄️

Premium update #31

Some people look forward to Thanksgiving, Christmas, or a birthday, but for meteorologists and climate scientists, the 10th of every month is a holiday 🎁

Since late 2019, it has marked the day on which a coordinated “data dump” from the world’s top meteorological centers occurs — the U.S., Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Japan all contribute.

And since early 2023, ECMWF has been offering its update a few days earlier, on the 6th! This data provides insights on general weather themes over the next six months — and we’re about to dive into the very latest update for winter ⬇️

Climate models are like an event planner for a costume party. They can tell you the general theme of the party, such as "tropical luau" or "winter wonderland," giving you a sense of the overall atmosphere and ambiance you can expect. However, they can't provide you with the exact costumes or outfits each guest will wear to the party.

Climate models give us insights into the general weather themes, such as long-term temperature trends or shifts in precipitation patterns. They help us understand the broader context of the climate, but they don't provide specific details about individual weather events or occurrences. Just as partygoers decide on their unique costumes, weather events are influenced by various factors and can't be precisely predicted by climate models alone.

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➡️ As it pertains to the current snowy season, the first part of the costume party has been pretty dull as some guests, like the polar vortex, have been late to arrive 😉

Patience is running thin and the guests are starting to wonder if the party will ever start!

However, drinks and dinner will soon be served, setting the stage for building excitement at the venue, with winter-themed games and activities planned for the rest of the evening, courtesy of Mother Nature ☃️

In this post, premium subscribers will learn about those winter-themed “games and activities” that Mother Nature has planned for the Hudson Valley in the months ahead!

📽️ A winter weather update video can be found below 👇