BenNollWeather

Share this post
Consistently chilly
www.bennollsays.com

Consistently chilly

Update #483

Ben Noll
Jan 23, 2022
12
Share this post
Consistently chilly
www.bennollsays.com

Hi everyone 👋

As we awaken to another morning with single digit temperatures, you might need something to look forward to when it comes to the weather.

I present the Hudson Valley’s annual temperature curve, illustrating the typical temperature journey that the region experiences every year.

I've crunched the numbers using data over the last 70 years — generally speaking, the two week period between January 17th and 31st has the coldest weather of the year 🥶

The good news that it’s all uphill from here.

July 17th-19th is when the Hudson Valley has historically experienced its hottest average temperature readings 🌴

The week ahead? Well, it’s life at the bottom of the temperature curve 🐧

A series of Alberta clippers, or quick-moving disturbances that ride along the polar jet stream into the northern U.S. from the Canadian Prairies, will swipe the Hudson Valley with snow tonight and again Tuesday night.

Accumulation is expected to be very light in both cases, with a dusting tonight followed by just a little more on Monday night — probably a coating up to a half inch or so 📏

I wouldn’t be shocked if a few towns managed to get an inch tomorrow night since the snow will be extra powdery. With light snow falling into the wee hours of Tuesday morning, there’s at least a chance for a delay. I’d say the odds for a full day exceed the odds for a delay, though.

On Wednesday, a high pressure system that’s currently in the Arctic Ocean will settle over the Northeast, potentially bringing the Hudson Valley its coldest temperatures yet this winter — widespread sub-zero readings are possible on Thursday morning 🥶

While winds look light, wind chill values between -10 and -15 degrees look possible at this point.

The air mass over the Northeast on Wednesday will come with a direct connection to the Arctic (⚪)

Dry weather will likely continue through Thursday night before a front approaches from the northwest on Friday. It looks like another moisture-starved system, so the chance for significant impacts is low.

A coastal low could form on Friday night or early Saturday. While the current indication is for an offshore track, it’s one to keep an eye on.

A period of dry weather is possible from the end of January into early February, along with a gradual moderating trend 📈

Water lily enjoying summer in New Zealand

Thank you for supporting this free weather service, have a great week!

Donate

Merch

Share this post
Consistently chilly
www.bennollsays.com
Comments
TopNewCommunity

No posts

Ready for more?

© 2023 Ben Noll
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing