Well, it felt good to write the title “Finer February week”. Now I hope I didn’t jinx anything 😅

After a pretty relentless stretch of cold, snow, and ice, a spell of days in the 40s with a lack of powerful winter storms is possibly just what the doctor ordered!

We reach a point every winter where the luster of snow days begins to wear off and the strength of the sun teases us that spring is on the way.

Then, after what seems like “progress”, Mother Nature pulls the rug out from under us and dumps a foot of snow. That could be later this month or March 🙃

One week at a time…

On Monday afternoon, a weak disturbance will track a little wet snow or rain across the region. I’m not expecting much in the way of accumulation from this feature as temperatures should be near or above freezing — if anything, it will be on grassy and unpaved surfaces. Regardless, I’ll be keeping an eye on it. I couldn’t entirely rule out the cancellation of after school activities.

As you can see on the outlook above, a stretch of relatively milder weather is forecast from Tuesday-Saturday with highs in the 40s. A front will cross the region on Thursday, bringing a chance for some light precipitation.

A stronger front is then predicted to move through on Saturday, setting the stage for a colder end to the weekend.

The Sunday/Monday period is worth keeping an eye on for some storm activity near the East Coast, but I’m not overly enthusiastic about the chances.

Looking ahead to the week of the 14th, it looks colder to start followed by a moderating trend. The chance for impactful winter storms generally looks lower than normal.

Speaking of the week of the 14th, I’ll be away. I’ll continue to send email updates as necessary but I won’t have a weekly outlook next Sunday. My next scheduled weekly update is on February 21st. You can always follow me on Twitter for the latest information.

A blend of altocumulus and cumulus cloud at sunset in Auckland

BenNollWeather

Finer February week