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Mild times ahead 🎃

www.bennollsays.com

Mild times ahead 🎃

Update #521

Ben Noll
Oct 23, 2022
5
Share this post

Mild times ahead 🎃

www.bennollsays.com

Relatively mild temperatures are expected over the next 2 weeks, with 50s and 60s common and a few 70 degree readings! 🌡️

Early this week, there won’t be quite as much sun as once looked possible with scattered rain chances through Wednesday. After that, it’s blue skies for a few days.

⏳ We’ll likely be waiting until at least the second week of November for the next proper cool down. My winter outlook, released yesterday, suggests that cold spells are possible in mid and/or late November and December ❄️

BenNollWeather
2022-23 Hudson Valley winter outlook
So does a hot, dry summer mean that we’re going to “pay for it” this winter? How does a cool start to fall factor in? ❄️ It is that time of the year once again: just over a week til Halloween, 5 til Thanksgiving, 9 til Christmas, and 0 til you learn about what the upcoming winter might have in store 🫣…
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5 months ago · 3 likes · Ben Noll

Programming note: I’ll be traveling overseas to the Philippines next weekend, so my weekly weather newsletter might arrive at a different time, subject to my availability.

Most of today (Sunday) will be dry until a coastal disturbance pushes onshore late this afternoon and evening. Damp conditions are expected overnight. Generally speaking, Monday looks overcast and rather dreary.

A warm and humid southeasterly wind flow will develop on Tuesday, coming with a chance for passing showers. The warmer than normal conditions will stick around on Wednesday, along with the chance for a bit of rain at times.

🌬️ On Wednesday night, cooler, drier air will push in from the west, leading to a less humid, sunnier, and breezy day on Thursday.

At this point there’s a good chance that the sun will stick around for Friday and for at least part of Saturday too — thanks to high pressure. That’s the good news 🌤️

😬 On Sunday, a disturbance may gather in the south and begin to track toward the Northeast. Sunday could be dry, but Mother Nature may just get a little tricky on Halloween Monday. The current setup suggests those jack-o'-lanterns might need umbrellas. We need a monster high pressure system to scare the rain away 👻

For now, we watch.

After that, a warmer than average start to November looks likely 📈

A warmer than average (🔴) end to October & start to November is likely in the Northeast

A change to cooler conditions is possible in the middle part of November.

New merch!

Did you see the new logo and merch line I launched yesterday?

You can use promo code “winteriscoming” for 15% off (valid until October 31st)!

  • T-shirts: navy, light blue, green, white

  • Hoodies: navy, light blue, white

  • Sweatshirts: navy, light blue, white

  • Mug, tumbler

  • Beanie

  • Youth t-shirt

  • Women’s t-shirt

10/10 spring vibes

The spring vibes were rated 10/10 in New Zealand this weekend. It’s a long weekend (labor day Monday) and Mother Nature rewarded us with abundant sunshine and rather warm conditions.

25˚C (77˚F) is the threshold for a “warm day” in NZ and we had our first one of spring on Sunday — the national high was 84˚F in the South Island.

I was the on-call forecaster for Fire and Emergency New Zealand this weekend, so I had to stay in cell service range, but that will not be the case next weekend! I’ll be traveling overseas to the Philippines, so my weekly weather newsletter might arrive at a different time, subject to my availability and internet access.

Follow along on Twitter for photos from my tropical travels 🌴

The sea water in New Zealand 😍
Manukau Heads, Auckland

Fly high like the temperatures this week ✌️

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Mild times ahead 🎃

www.bennollsays.com
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