Wintry Wednesday update

Update #533c

Good day! It is going to be a good day if you like snow… but you’ll have to be patient, as it will take a little while for the “good stuff” to get here.

As of 4:30 am Wednesday, snow was developing in PA and will spread eastward into NY later this morning

🔑 Like a sports TV segment, here are the five keys to the game:

• A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Sullivan and western Ulster, while a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Orange, eastern Ulster, Rockland, Dutchess, Putnam, and northern Westchester

• A narrow band of snow is expected to stretch into the Hudson Valley between 9:00-11:00 am, but accumulation before noon will range from a coating to at most an inch in the Catskills

  • Temperatures range from 23-32 across the region (as of 4:30 am), so it will stick on arrival

• Snow rates will increase after 1:00 pm and could reach 1/2 inch to an inch per hour between 2:00-4:00 pm — this is when road conditions will deteriorate

• Light to moderate snow is expected from 4:00-7:00 pm before changing to rain

  • I still like my range of 2-5 inches, although I think there will be more 2-3 inch amounts across the region than 4-5

• Temperatures will warm to near 40 degrees overnight as rain washes away the snow — for this reason, Thursday delays aren’t particularly likely, but could occur in the Catskills (note, it will be windy on Thursday 🌬️)

The weather doesn’t look half bad through the weekend. The next storm threat looks to be toward the middle of next week.

Enjoy the snow! ✌️