🌴 Summer-like! Then a cool surge 📉

Update #569

The title speaks for itself! The week ahead will give us both our final taste of summer and then our first real taste of fall.

A weather roller coaster, so to speak 🎢

The warm weather will last for a majority of the week, with the cold change not coming until next weekend. The chilly air will probably stick around into the week of October 9th, potentially coming with our first frost and maybe even some snow across the mountains of the Northeast ❄️

The week ahead will feature a 45 degree temperature swing — from the low 80s to the mid 30s!

Monday: Sunny! ☀️

Tuesday: Sunny! Near-record warmth and becoming more humid ☀️ (the record high is 83 from 1995)

Wednesday: ☀️ Like Tuesday! (the record high is 86 from 1941)

Thursday: More clouds, not quite as warm ⛅

Friday: More clouds than sun and a chance for showers, mainly later

Saturday-Sunday: There may be showers around on Saturday, especially early, before it turns much cooler and breezy as a Canadian cold front swings though — setting the stage for a cool day on Sunday! 📉

The week of October 9th looks cooler than average to start before turning mild again later — it also looks drier than normal.

Looking farther ahead, late October may come with a renewed surge of colder than average conditions. With the warm weather this week, it’s hard to imagine that snow will fill the sky in the not-too-distant future 🔮 🌨️

My winter outlook will be released to premium subscribers on Saturday, October 21st. It will then be open to all on Sunday, October 22nd.

Subscribe so you don’t miss it! 👇

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Gnarly New Zealand weather

This week I’m sharing some photos from a wild weather day in Auckland on Saturday.

It’s spring down here, a time of year when cold air from the south can clash with warm air from the north, leading to some pretty unstable conditions.

On Saturday, a late season Antarctic front brought some serious convection (heavy showers, thunderstorms) to northern New Zealand and this was the result: mammatus clouds!

Mammatus clouds form as a result of turbulence, typically in a cumulonimbus (thunderstorm) cloud

Strong winds buffeted the coastline which led to a very angry Tasman Sea (the body of water separating New Zealand and Australia). Maximum gusts exceeded 60 mph, which led to some serious swell. It was difficult to stand up straight at times!

At the end of the day, crepuscular rays shined through a break in the clouds, illuminating the sea…

Everywhere you turn, Mother Nature is showing you how amazing she can be! ✨

Hope you have fun on the weather roller coaster 🎢