False start: spring! 🖐️
It may be near 60 degrees in the Hudson Valley on Saturday, but a winter storm may be on the horizon from late Monday into Tuesday.
A disturbance moving into the Northwest U.S. today (Friday) will be the main energy behind this eventual storm.
Because this system won’t have a lot of cold air to work with, its track will be critical toward determining the type of precipitation that falls, similar to many storms that come our way during winter.
The map below shows 50 different possible locations for the storm on Monday night, with the black, bold circle indicating its most likely location. A little nudge north would allow warmer air into the valley, while a more southerly track would be favorable for snow. Right now, the latter is looking more likely.
The details will become clearer in the next day or two, but I wanted to provide an overview of the situation heading into the weekend so that you can plan for next week. I get the feeling that scheduling a test for Tuesday might not be such a great idea 😉
What? Snow possible.
When? Late Monday into Tuesday.
How much? A moderate chance for a plowable accumulation of more than 3 inches. A more precise accumulation range will be possible in a day or two.
Impact? The potential for difficult travel on Monday night and Tuesday and school disruptions on Tuesday.
My next update on Sunday morning will include more detail on the event. In the meantime, you are welcome to follow along on social media.
Winter may well be coming in for another landing in the Hudson Valley!