Hi there! I hope you didn’t get too used to the mild weather over the last week because it will soon become a distant memory.
❄️ A colder and occasionally unsettled pattern is coming for the remainder of February with several storms possible. Keep the snow blower and shovel close, because you’ll need them on Tuesday:
The National Weather Service issued a Winter Storm Watch for the potential for more than 6 inches of snow in the Hudson Valley and Catskills from Monday night into Tuesday afternoon.
Here’s what I’m thinking:
What? Snow, heavy at times. Snow rates may reach an inch per hour on Tuesday morning. Precipitation could start as rain on Monday night before quickly changing to snow.
When? Starting between 10:00 pm Monday - 1:00 am Tuesday, ending by mid-afternoon Tuesday.
How much? 4-8 inches remains the most likely range. There is still some uncertainty in the exact track of the storm, but the trend over the last day has been toward a slightly more northerly track. This would enable areas north of I-84 to see the highest accumulations. A low end “bust” scenario would be 2-4 inches, while a high end “boom” scenario would be 8-12 inches, the latter primarily being possible north of I-84.
Impact? Hazardous road conditions developing late Monday night and continuing Tuesday with snow covered roads. School closings likely on Tuesday. Wind gusts in the 30 mph range may cause blowing snow and contribute to low visibility. The snow will be of a heavy, wet consistency — good for making snowmen and snowballs, but not for shoveling! Cold temperatures in the 10s and 20s on Tuesday night will cause snow and standing water to turn to ice, which may cause school delays on Wednesday.
For additional updates on this storm, follow along on social media. I’ll also provide an update on Monday morning.
Cold and occasionally windy conditions are forecast for much of the rest of the week. A disturbance from Thursday night into Friday morning may bring a light snowfall. There’s also a chance for something on Saturday.
Monday: mild with sunshine to start, then increasing clouds; snow developing at night
Tuesday: windy with snow, heavy at times during the morning ☃️
Wednesday: mostly sunny, cold, and windy 🥶
Thursday: sunny to partly cloudy, light snow possible at night
Friday: light snow possible early, then clouds and sun
Saturday-Sunday: snow possible on Saturday, most likely dry on Sunday
Looking ahead to the week of February 19th, many Hudson Valley schools will be enjoying a little break, but Mother Nature might be busy: a topsy-turvy weather pattern will bring spells of Arctic air and periodic wintry precipitation.
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Sick of the snow? Here’s a view of the sun. It’s peak summer where I live in New Zealand. Did you know I deliver my forecasts to the Hudson Valley all the way from an island in the South Pacific? Read about my story ➡️ https://www.bennollsays.com/about
Enjoy your sunny snowy week!