A taste of November, then more sun
Update #623
🌌 After a stunning auroral display last Thursday night [click here for photos], the Hudson Valley will get a taste of November this week! 🌬️
An early season Arctic air mass will descend from Canada, bringing daytime high temperatures in the 50s on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. This air mass will even bring flurries to the Northeast mountains on Wednesday and frosty conditions to the Hudson Valley on Thursday and Friday morning — at least.
The long-running story has been the dry, sunny weather that has been so common this fall. The lack of moisture has prompted the U.S. drought monitor to assign the “unusually dry” category to the Hudson Valley.
Signs are that this (drier than normal) pattern will continue for some time to come, into November and possibly into the early part of winter. The lack of an El Niño this season has contributed to a weak sub-tropical jet stream and far fewer moisture plumes from the south.
❄️ Speaking of winter, I’m excited to unveil my Hudson Valley winter outlook next weekend! Here’s your chance to become a premium subscriber and receive it by email, next Saturday, October 19th. Click the button below to upgrade. ❄️
The week ahead
Monday: partly sunny and windy with a passing shower possible
Tuesday: breezy and cooler with a mix of sun and clouds
🐧 Wednesday: chilly with a breeze; chance for a passing shower
Thursday: a morning frost; abundant sunshine
Friday: another frosty morning, lots of sun, turning warmer
🌟 Saturday-Sunday: warmer yet with a good deal of sun
Looking ahead to the week of October 21st, a drier than normal pattern looks set to continue. Temperatures look warmer than average.
Tropical update
Helene and Milton brought a deadly one-two punch to Florida. Milton brought more than six Octobers’ worth of rain to parts of the state, as illustrated below.
The state will get a break from adverse weather this week, but hurricane season is not over yet.
Typically, the West Pacific [Warm Pool] holds the world’s warmest sea water. But this year, because of how unusually warm the Atlantic is, the Caribbean Sea is giving the western Pacific a run for its money.
The map below highlights the ocean water on the planet that’s hotter than 86˚F. The Caribbean shows up as a ‘hot spot’, which means that it is primed and ready to support yet more hurricane activity.
The week of October 21st is one to watch for such activity. It’s too soon to say much more than that at this point, but stay tuned.
Hope your week is as super as the (late week) weather ✌️
I hope we get a good snow storm at least this year in Jan Feb March would be nice 🤞🤞
Thanks, Ben!